Botswana has finalized a new 10-year, 25-year mining licence agreement with De Beers, aiming to boost its share of rough diamonds through Okavango Diamond Company to 50% by 2035. While the agreement strengthens local control and extends mining operations to 2054, the country still navigates an economic slump driven by falling diamond sales and rising inventory. For more details, visit De Beers Group AI responses may include mistakes. Learn more

The government of Botswana has taken steps to increase its share of the revenue, but more needs to be done to ensure that the country benefits from its rich diamond deposits. The government must also prioritize the needs of local communities and ensure that the industry is operated in a responsible and sustainable manner.

However, critics argue that "production parity" does not equal "value parity." While Botswana gets half the rough diamonds, De Beers has historically controlled the pipeline : the sorting, valuing, marketing, and selling.

In exchange for the improved sales terms, De Beers was granted a 25-year extension on its mining licenses in Botswana, securing operations through to 2054.

However, this ambition is fraught with immense risk, and not everyone believes it is a wise move.

Is Botswana Getting a Raw Deal From De Beers Diamonds? For over half a century, the partnership between Botswana and De Beers has been hailed as one of the most successful public-private collaborations in the world. However, as the global diamond market undergoes seismic shifts, a critical question has emerged: Is Botswana getting a raw deal?

New frameworks mandate that De Beers actively assist in building Botswana’s domestic cutting, polishing, and diamond-tech capabilities, transforming Gaborone from a mining hub into a genuine technological and financial center for gemstones.

However, the proposed solution—taking control of De Beers—is a high-stakes gamble. It could allow Botswana to finally capture the full value of its mineral wealth, but it also risks sinking the nation deeper into debt and dependency on a beleaguered industry. Whether President Boko’s bold vision will lead to a new era of diamond-driven prosperity or a cautionary tale of overreach is a story that is still being written in the mines of Jwaneng and the negotiating rooms of Gaborone.

Under the previous long-term arrangement, Botswana’s state-owned Okavango Diamond Company (ODC) was entitled to just 25% of the rough diamonds produced by , the 50/50 joint venture between the government and De Beers. The new agreement fundamentally alters this balance:

Diamonds undergo an exponential value surge after they leave Botswana as rough stones. Once cut, polished, and set into luxury jewelry in New York, Antwerp, or Shanghai, their retail value skyrockets.

The "aggregation" process, where Botswana’s high-quality stones are mixed with lower-quality stones from other De Beers mines (like those in Canada or South Africa), might dilute the premium price Botswana should receive. The Burden of Diversification

However, in recent years, a simmering tension has breached the surface. Accusations that Botswana is getting a "raw deal" have shifted from radical political rhetoric to mainstream government policy. As global diamond markets face unprecedented shifts, the geopolitical and economic struggle over Botswana’s subterranean wealth has reached a critical turning point. The Bedrock of the Partnership: Debswana

: After years of contentious negotiations, a new 10-year sales agreement and a 25-year extension of mining licenses (through 2054) were finalized in early 2025.

But the "raw deal" isn't about poverty—it's about .

The rapid rise of synthetic, lab-grown diamonds poses an existential threat to natural diamond producers. LGDs are chemically and optically identical to mined diamonds but retail at a fraction of the cost. As younger consumers embrace synthetics for their affordability and perceived eco-friendliness, the demand and prices for natural diamonds have faced severe downward pressure. Macroeconomic Volatility and Anglo American's Restructuring

Recognizing these vulnerabilities, Botswana’s President Mokgweetsi Masisi adopted an aggressive negotiation stance leading up to the renewal of the 10-year sales agreement. Masisi publicly threatened to walk away from De Beers entirely if Botswana did not secure a better deal, stating that the nation was no longer content with receiving "crumbs."

The new deal signed in 2023 represents a desperate and necessary grab for sovereignty. Whether it is enough to sustain Botswana's future depends less on De Beers and more on how quickly Gaborone can turn diamond wealth into a post-diamond economy. For now, the partnership remains a "marriage of convenience" where both parties are sleeping with one eye open.

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